Thursday morning looks a hair smaller and less consistent than Wednesday’s surf. But top West facing beaches will still be rifling in some ass kicker sets that will go way overhead. The beach breaks may be doable at high tide, but if it get’s as big as we think, you’ll be hard pressed to dig up a corner because of the long interval swell, as the tide drops.
The points and reef should all be working and although the breaks on the north end of the Bay and beyond will be much smaller, they should continue to deliver ample surf. Keep an eye on the tides through the week. They basically retain the same high to low pattern, just fast forward the start time a 1/2 hour every morning.
The conditions should be great as the high pressure strengthens and winds out of the NNE jump up to 6-10 m.p.h. at most spots, while the beaches that are below the passes and canyons see some 15-30 m.p.h. plus gusts. Look for a high air temp of 71 degrees.
Friday morning should take another dip in size, with the top breaks going shoulder high to head high plus, with possibly some overhead sets still roaming the plains for the best West facing beaches. The sets will be less consistent, and the wave size will drop all over, so the tides will become a more relevant issue for the smaller spots. The conditions will be good again with winds continuing out of the NNE at 6-12 m.p.h. through the morning. Then we’ll see light breezes out of the West until sundown. Look for a high air temp of 73 degrees.
Saturday morning, (just when you thought it was safe to go back in the water) another, possibly even stronger swell will roar into town and build in through day. Even at first light it should be pumping. The deep water, canyon spots will be DOH plus by day’s end. Like its predecessor, this swell will also have quite a bit of West in it, coming down the line at a 270-290 degree angle with 18-20 second periods. Basically, when a swell with 20 second intervals hits and has that much West in it, every nook and cranny on the coast should see some action. The beach breaks will likely be nothing more than a Navy Seal exercise, but keep in mind that there is the South Bay Surfriders’ “Biggest Wave of the Winter Contest” which began Dec. 1 and continues March 31. Waves must be ridden between Indicator and the El Segundo jetty. The winner gets a cool $1000 clams from Body Glove and bragging rights, so if you’re going to man up, bring your photo guy.
The conditions look reasonable, but not as great as earlier in the week. We’re anticipating light and variable breezes at 2-6 m.p.h. throughout the day. We’ll see a high air temp of 70 degrees. Sunday morning looks be another mack daddy of a day with continued DOH plus bombs out of the NW for the premiere breaks. The conditions should improve again as another blast of offshore winds moves in for the a.m. session and blow in the double digit range all day long. Look for a high of 61 degrees. The current water temps are as follows: South Bay 59 degrees, Newport 56 degrees, Huntington 58 degrees, Santa Monica 58 degrees and Malibu 57 degrees. I’m headed out of town tomorrow so I’ll be updating the forecast as time permits. Look for the latest scoop on Thursday, and please don’t email me to tell me what I’m missing…
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